South Korea's Population Disaster Is Coming
Key point: This is Korea's greatest challenge yet.
The challenge facing Korean policymakers was highlighted by a recent government report, which showed that its falling fertility rate could see its population start declining as early as 2020.
Previous estimates in 2016 suggested the population would peak in 2023 under only the most pessimistic scenario.
Released in March this year, the report by Statistics Korea predicted South Korea’s population could peak at around fifty-one million this year, before dropping to the 1972 level of around thirty-four million by 2067 under the most pessimistic scenario.
Seniors aged sixty-five and older would account for nearly half the population by 2065 under even the medium-growth scenario, making it the grayest developed nation in the world and potentially threatening its military capabilities.
South Korean women are clearly having fewer children, according to the latest figures, with a fertility rate—the average number of children born per woman—dropping to a record low of 0.98 in 2018. This was lower than Japan’s 1.43 and well below the estimated “replacement-level fertility” rate of around 2.1 for most nations.
译文来源：三泰虎 https://www.santaihu.com/48488.html 译者：Jessica.Wu
Scott13 hours ago
Once again, the Media is confusing economic growth with high living standards. With the overcrowding and high rents in cities across East Asia, fewer children is merely a sign of young people living within their means. South Korea and Japan are not places where anybody with a middle class job can go out to the suburbs and build a house.
C K14 hours ago•Last reply 3 hours ago
The higher in IQ a nation gets, the lower in fertility rate.
Rich14 hours ago•Last reply 13 minutes ago
Stopping population growth is the only chance humanity has to survive long term. The scarcity of room to continue growth will result in disaster in the future if population growth continues at its present rate. Good for Korea, good for all if the rest of the world follows their example.
Jeff13 hours ago
There is absolutely no question that there are too many people on the planet. Our population growth WILL stop. We can choose to do so ourselves or nature will take care of that for us. Natures methods are not very friendly.
lawn14 hours ago
The East Asian countries can met the challenges that a declining population brings through innovation, not immigration.
Truth14 hours ago•Last reply 3 hours ago
This is not bad news. This is "acceptable news." The levelling off of population demographics means that there will be more for everyone in the future with the growth of technology.
Jenny14 hours ago
Almost 8 billion people on the planet. I'm not exactly stressed that the human population will die out anytime soon because they aren't having enough kids. Populations might drop in some countries, so demographics might change in those places. Not that big a deal.
Mark14 hours ago
I don't understand how population reduction is considered a bad thing. It is happening in most educated/civilized countries. Reduction of the population (by choice) is the answer to most of our problems. If people would have only 1 child for a few generations, the world would be a better place by far.